Government Relations - April 18, 2025

Week 4 – Leadership on display, but time is running out

With just over a week until election day, last night’s debate was a critical opportunity for candidates to define their leadership and vision for Canada. Polls are tightening. Every moment counts now.

The debate was well-run and gave each leader space to speak, no chaos, no circus. Just enough airtime for voters to get a clearer look at what’s on offer.

Big picture issues like Trump, tariffs, and Canada’s place in the world made their way into the discussion. Not surprising, given the global moment we’re in.

Carney, the frontrunner, had one job: don’t mess it up. And he didn’t. Calm, measured, not flashy, but leaned into what he brings: global experience, steady hands, and a message aimed at voters looking for stability.

Poilievre adjusted his tone, stayed sharp, and made his pitch by tying Carney to Trudeau-era policies on immigration, housing, and the carbon tax. Still on message, but more controlled.

Singh was the most disruptive. Clearly feeling the pressure of slipping support. He jumped in often, trying to stay relevant and push his priorities forward.

Blanchet? He’s playing the Quebec game. And playing it well. His focus is on locking in seats, especially if this ends up being another minority situation.

No one “won” the debate. No knockout punches. But with so few undecided voters left, even a small shift could matter.

Now the campaigns are all about the ground game. Advance voting opens this week, and turnout will be key. Teams are laser-focused on getting supporters to the polls early.

Expect a flurry of announcements across vote-rich regions: Ontario, Atlantic Canada, and B.C., as parties push to secure every last vote before April 28.

The last few days could decide everything. And the outcome? Still anyone’s game.